Robert F. Kennedy Jr. smiled, threw up a stilted wave, and made eye contact with no one specifically. He was shuffling into Puckett’s restaurant in Franklin, Tennessee, earlier this month for a plate of noon meatloaf. No advance staff had peppered the room with stickers or buttons bearing his title. Nobody had tipped off the native media. Flanked by his press secretary and a few plainclothes safety guards, Kennedy made his approach towards a big desk again close to the kitchen, the place he and I had been scheduled to satisfy for an interview. The roughly two dozen lunch patrons didn’t seem to clock him, nor did the waiter.
Kennedy’s impartial marketing campaign for the White Home has a free, confounding power to it. Most presidential candidates would glad-hand at a spot like Puckett’s; Kennedy didn’t trouble. Quite than run on a coverage slogan—“Medicare for all,” “Construct the wall”—Kennedy has opted for one thing nearer to mysticism. He makes use of the phrase existential in practically each speech. He spends an inordinate period of time on podcasts.
“, a lot of life, we see from the floor,” Kennedy informed me that day. “It’s just like the floor of the ocean. There’s a storm happening, there’s winds blowing, and we get preoccupied with ambitions, with concern, with, you realize, trepidation. After which when you sink just a few toes under the ocean, it’s calm there. And that, I believe, is the place we’re presupposed to spend as a lot time as doable, in that place the place it’s peaceable, the place you perceive every thing is sort of an phantasm. We’re strolling via a dream, and our job is to be variety to individuals, to be open, to be tolerant.”
Regardless of this hazy rhetoric, institution Democrats contemplate Kennedy to be a concrete hazard to the way forward for democracy. Home Minority Chief Hakeem Jeffries has referred to as Kennedy “a dwelling, respiration false-flag operation” whose “complete marketing campaign is being run by right-wing political operatives who’ve one goal: attempt to take down President Joe Biden.”
After I first interviewed Kennedy final 12 months, many individuals derided him as a distraction who would shortly fade into obscurity. 5 months out from Election Day, Kennedy is polling within the double digits and preventing for nationwide poll entry. His staff insists that voters will be capable to pull the lever for him in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. Many political observers have argued that, like previous third-party candidates who’ve damage Democrats, he’s poised to attract extra votes from Biden than from former President Donald Trump. A current New York Instances/Siena ballot confirmed that Kennedy has significantly robust help amongst younger voters and Latinos, two teams Biden wants greater than Trump. But he’s additionally drawing help from Republicans and conservatives. Many of those voters are prepared to look previous his conspiratorial, anti-vaccination statements. Some could share his views.
Whereas Biden and Trump battle for first place, Kennedy is zigzagging across the nation, speaking about our must reconnect with the Earth and rediscover our shared humanity. Born and raised an East Coast Catholic, he now resembles an getting old California hippie preaching New Age mantras. He’s not working a profitable operation a lot as he’s on a public self-actualization journey. And America should stay with the results.
Like with Biden and Trump, Kennedy’s psychological state receives armchair diagnoses each day. However, not like Biden and Trump, Kennedy says he as soon as had a parasitic worm in his mind. I requested him if he would consent to present process a cognitive take a look at. “The cognitive examination known as the debates. I might gladly take it,” he stated. “I take a cognitive examination each time I do a podcast—I problem the opposite candidates to take the cognitive take a look at with me.” He added that he’d launch his medical information if his chief opponents did the identical.
Three nights earlier than our lunch in Tennessee, I confirmed up at Kennedy’s rally in Austin, Texas. Exterior the venue I noticed one attendee with colourful markers scribbling out a home made signal: WORMS NOT WARS. The person, a 39-year-old named Steven Kinsey, informed me he had spent his complete grownup life supporting Democrats, together with Biden. However a number of months in the past he occurred to listen to Kennedy on Theo Von’s podcast when the episode got here up on shuffle. “I used to be like, ‘Oh, isn’t that that loopy Kennedy?’” he stated. “So I simply left it on for leisure functions. And I used to be blown away. I used to be like, ‘This isn’t the identical man that everybody says is wacko.’”
Kennedy’s rhetoric—whether or not you imagine it to be wacko or compelling—is filled with contradictions. He views himself as a pacifist—an anti-war candidate who nonetheless falls to the appropriate of many liberals on key problems with the second, together with Israel in its conflict with Hamas. Kennedy informed me he’s “very pro-Palestinian,” however like Biden, he’s steadfastly supporting Israel. “I believe, for Israel’s future, for Gaza’s future, Hamas needs to be gotten rid of,” he stated. “I don’t see what occurs in a cease-fire. I don’t even perceive what individuals, you realize, anticipate out of it.”
Kennedy made headlines in early Might for saying he supported abortion rights up till the second of delivery. However over lunch with me a number of days later, he defined why he had already modified his place, supporting abortion rights solely to the purpose of fetal viability. “I’ve had 40 years that present that I’m fairly detached to a political value of no matter situation,” he stated. “If I’m improper about one thing, if any individual reveals me info, I’m going to alter my thoughts.” After I requested whether or not he’d enshrine abortion rights on the federal stage, he was cagey. “Possibly an early—you realize—earlier than viability,” he stated. “Hear, I don’t inform individuals I’m going to do one thing I don’t assume will be performed.”
Within the early 2000s, Kennedy helped popularize the concept that vaccines trigger autism, a concept that is still scientifically unproven. Final summer time, he falsely claimed that the coronavirus pandemic could have been “ethnically focused” to assault Caucasians and Black individuals, and that “Ashkenazi Jews and Chinese language” are most immune from the virus. Nonetheless, he rejects the anti-vax label. “To start with, just about every thing that the press has written about my opinion of vaccines is improper,” he informed me. He stated he believes that his place on vaccines is “aligned with what 99 p.c of Individuals really feel.” In a little bit of revisionist historical past, he stated his stance boils right down to “If individuals need vaccines they need to be capable to get ’em. I’m not going to do something to intervene with that.” He informed me that he needs individuals to have “the very best science” on danger and efficacy. “And that’s all I’ve been saying for years. And that the people who find themselves injured by vaccines, there’s a specific amount of people who find themselves injured, and that we must be listening to them, not telling them that they’re nice and gaslighting them.”
Kennedy has virtually zero probability of profitable the White Home and turning these coverage positions into legal guidelines. As of now, he received’t take part within the first presidential debate in June. Throughout our lunch, I requested him which state he most believes he’ll win, or, extra typically, if he has a viable path to 270 electoral votes. He talked about just a few spots the place he’s gaining traction, however couldn’t reply both query definitively. “I’m solely peripherally concerned in that a part of the marketing campaign,” he stated of state-level plans—he was saying, in different phrases, that he’s not concerned within the a part of the marketing campaign that’s involved with attempting to win the election. He deferred my nuts-and-bolts queries to his marketing campaign supervisor, Amaryllis Fox Kennedy, his daughter-in-law.
“, there’s a mathematical reply,” she informed me by telephone final evening. “However there’s additionally a solution that actually has continued to transcend math right through.” She referred to this as “the America that just about was and what could possibly be,” paraphrasing the creator Charles Eisenstein. “A part of what I believe numerous observers, not less than at this stage within the cycle, get improper, is taking a look at nationwide races reasonably than taking a look at particular person states and the way collectively they ship a brand new chief to the White Home,” she stated.
I requested her which particular person states her marketing campaign will win.
“Effectively, you realize, John, I might like to inform you that record,” she stated. “One of many facets to our electoral map that’s extraordinarily necessary just isn’t signaling the place we’re going to be targeted, guaranteeing promoting charges and a focus and so forth are reasonably priced and achievable there. So I can’t share the states with you besides to say that Bobby is talking to all Individuals, and most particularly to Individuals who’ve been fully ignored by the map of the two-party system for many years and many years and are able to have a say within the system.”
I requested her once more. She finally stated that her staff has a listing of 29 states, however refused to share any of them, elevating the chance that Kennedy’s opponents could attempt to infiltrate their marketing campaign. “The place we see the strongest numbers proper now could be, you realize, the matter of numerous inner polling. I’m positive the opposite campaigns are doing their very own inner polling. However within the steadiness of sources, it wouldn’t be clever for us to spend so much of hours on polling after which share them publicly.”
Although Kennedy will virtually actually lose the election, he might nonetheless have an effect on its consequence by being a spoiler. The Democrats sense this. The DNC lately employed the veteran operative Lis Smith to guide a staff targeted on attacking third-party candidates, Kennedy specifically. Exterior Kennedy’s rally in Austin, a black field truck drove laps across the venue. Among the many rotating messages on its exterior about Kennedy and his working mate: WHY IS TRUMP’S TOP DONOR SPENDING $20 MILLION TO PROP UP RFK JR. AND NICOLE SHANAHAN? Beneath Photoshopped pictures of the 2 candidates in MAGA hats was a disclaimer: PAID FOR BY THE DEMOCRATIC NATIONAL COMMITTEE.
The Democratic pollster and strategist Ben Tulchin has lately been trying intently at two swing states, Arizona and Pennsylvania. In Arizona, specifically, Tulchin’s knowledge point out that Kennedy is an even bigger risk to Biden than he’s to Trump, particularly amongst younger individuals and Latinos. “I’ve been elevating the alarm with the Democratic Get together and anybody who will hear me within the Biden marketing campaign,” Tulchin informed me.
On the nationwide stage, although, a transparent image has but to emerge. Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth College Polling Institute, informed me in an e-mail, “There isn’t any proof within the present polls that conclusively factors to RFK pulling extra help from both aspect.” He continued, “The issue is, in fact, with anticipated shut outcomes in just a few key Electoral School states, any small spoiler impact that’s hidden within the polling margins can have main penalties. Pattern polling will not be exact sufficient to search out it, except you’ll be able to interview each voter. That sort of polling known as an election.”
Kennedy retains steadily attracting not simply independents however a mixture of Democrats and Republicans alike. This aligns with what I’ve observed at his occasions—a various generational cross part: crypto bros, cowboys, crunchy hippies. Kennedy appears to be like out from the stage and sees it, too—all of the wide-eyed voters trying again.
To stiff-arm the spoiler characterization, Kennedy refers to his personal polling that reveals he’d defeat both Biden or Trump in head-to-head matchups. “I’m not a spoiler, as a result of I can win,” he informed me flatly.
Trump rallies brim with a dystopian, campy Americana. Biden rallies barely exist. Kennedy rallies, in the meantime, are likely to really feel like large home events. Opening acts normally embody cowl bands, and plenty of attendees mingle whereas sipping drinks. Contained in the downtown-Austin venue, practically 1,000 individuals milled about a number of bars and listened to a band cycle via crowd favorites: Tom Petty’s “I Gained’t Again Down,” 4 Non Blondes’ “What’s Up?,” and, in an ironic twist, Creedence Clearwater Revival’s “Lucky Son.”
One of many first audio system that evening was the regenerative-farming influencer Ryland Engelhart. He quoted the mystic poet Rumi and affectionately likened the RFK Jr. marketing campaign to Noah’s Ark—“an enormous silly undertaking.” Engelhart informed the gang that he had been sitting on the bathroom scrolling via his telephone when he first found Kennedy and his message. He spoke wistfully a few current fundraiser that ended with Kennedy becoming a member of his donors in a sweat lodge. He paraphrased one other Rumi line on the finish of his speech: Out past concepts of wrongdoing and rightdoing, there’s a discipline. I’ll meet you there. Then provided a 2024 addendum: “There’s a president past Donald Trump and Joe Biden. I’ll meet you there.”
Shanahan made a uncommon public look that evening. A Silicon Valley businesswoman and reported billionaire, she has no political expertise and isn’t a pure public speaker. Most of her message was not in regards to the election, however about subjects comparable to wholesome soil and the hazard of eternally chemical compounds in meals. “Lots of our most progressive options come from exterior standard politics—they’re within the realm of what’s been referred to as ‘different,’” she stated. “Sure, I do know that sounds so radical. It shouldn’t. I’ve seen the ability of those little alternative routes of considering in my very own life. I’ve used different well being practices to revive my well being, my fertility … I do know what is feasible whenever you assume with another, inventive mindset.”
When Kennedy took the stage, he informed the gang, “Each time I see her communicate, I fall slightly bit extra in love along with her.” He went on, “Many of the presidential candidates we’ve at present, they sound like they’re doing a satire of Veep. And that’s not what you hear from Nicole—you hear a lecture about soil!” He warned that the extra Individuals spend on medication, the unhealthier we get. “What’s it that’s inflicting us to not see that?” he requested. “What’s it that’s inflicting us to continually feed this beast that’s making us increasingly sick on a regular basis? It’s the corrupt political system. It’s the subversion of our democracy.” His message constructed towards a call-and-response finale. “If Nicole and I get into workplace, every thing goes to alter,” Kennedy stated.
“Don’t you need every thing to alter?”
“Sure!” the gang shouted.
“Is there something that you just wish to maintain the identical?”
“No!”
A number of the individuals most involved about Kennedy’s influence on the election are members of his circle of relatives. Final 12 months, just a few Kennedys started talking out in opposition to what they noticed as the risks of his marketing campaign. His brother Christopher Kennedy lately characterised RFK as “unreachable,” a “true believer” with “fringe considering,” “crackpot concepts,” and “unsound judgment.” On St. Patrick’s Day this 12 months, dozens of Kennedys gathered on the White Home and took a household photograph with Biden—an unsubtle message to RFK.
I requested Kennedy what had gone via his thoughts when he noticed that photograph. He stared off at a fridge alongside the wall separating the restaurant’s eating room from its kitchen. He wiped his eye. He leaned ahead with each elbows on the desk. All informed, it took him 34 seconds to formulate his reply. Kennedy acknowledged that he has members of the family who’re “not enthused” about his candidacy, and a few who’re supporting him. “I don’t harbor resentments anymore,” he stated. “I simply don’t. I believe they’re corrosive. They’re like swallowing poison and hoping another person will die.”
He informed me that he had anticipated to be polling properly amongst his fellow Child Boomers, as a result of they had been those with essentially the most nostalgia for his father and uncle—the Camelot period. However up to now, he stated, youthful individuals had been his strongest bloc of help, individuals who doubtless didn’t assume a lot about that historical past. I requested if he felt primarily like a Kennedy, somebody carrying on a household legacy, or if he noticed himself as simply Bobby.
“The place will we get our sense of self?” he requested. “It comes from the rules that are the boundaries of that entity. The rules, the locations the place we are saying to ourselves, ‘I might by no means do this.’ And it comes from, you realize, emotions which might be the product of our historical past and our tradition and our genes. , I grew up on this household. That fortunate occasion, for me, has been one of many formative options and forces of my life. And has crafted every thing I imagine in as an individual. It’d be onerous for me to separate myself from my household.”
He characterised the previous 12 months of campaigning as “a really intense lesson on all of the issues that you just’re presupposed to be taught in the midst of your life.” Working for president, he stated, teaches you the way to course of antipathy. “You bought numerous hatred coming in, and anger, after which, you realize, the alternative of that, too.” The objective he chases is to deal with “every thing as an imposter,” even the adulation. However he appears to have a more durable time with that final half.
“I believe one of many inspiring issues for me is how many individuals have put hopes in me for change. And I’m positive when you interview a few of these people who find themselves following me, it’s extraordinary to me that so many individuals present up,” he stated. “Lots of them come to me crying and simply voice their hopes. And it seems like an enormous duty.” He informed me that this has modified him in a “elementary” approach. “It’s made me attempt to be the person who, you realize, individuals hope I’m.”
It’s onerous to know who that particular person is, or what he stands for. Kennedy informed me that he believes the worst issues Trump did as president had been instituting lockdowns throughout the early part of the pandemic and strolling away from a nuclear-weapons treaty with Russia. He referred to Biden’s border coverage as “a disaster.” He needs voters to mistrust the federal government, but he additionally needs to run the federal government. Kennedy stays a magnet for the disillusioned. His philosophy isn’t profound, however his supporters appear to know that he’s saying one thing, and that it’s slightly harmful and alluring. In an election with two deeply unpopular major-party candidates, that message—even when it doesn’t add as much as a lot—is resonating.
